|
Sign In to gain access to subscriptions and/or personal tools.
|
Evaluating the Risks
A Bernoulli Process Model of HIV Infection and Risk Reduction
Steven D. Pinkerton
University of California, Los Angeles
Paul R. Abramson
University of California, Los Angeles
The lifespan sexual history of many Americans can be modeled as a series of long-term monogamous relationships coupled with some number of brief affairs. Implicit in this model is the assumption that these monogamous relationships arise as a natural consequence of the search for a single partner with whom to share one's life, and therefore cannot be eliminated. Hence the only opportunity to reduce the number of sexual partners is by decreasing the number of short-term relationships. In contrast, condoms can be used in all relationships, regardless of the expected duration. But which is more effective at reducing the risk of HIV infection, the consistent use of condoms or decreasing the number of short-term sexual partners? This article employs a Bernoulli process model of HIV transmission to evaluate the infection risks associated with various sexual behavior patterns in an attempt to answer such questions.
Evaluation Review, Vol. 17, No. 5,
504-528 (1993)
DOI: 10.1177/0193841X9301700503
 CiteULike  Connotea  Del.icio.us  Digg  Reddit  Technorati What's this?
This article has been cited by other articles:
|
|
|
|
 
G P Garnett, P J White, and H Ward
Fewer partners or more condoms? Modelling the effectiveness of STI prevention interventions
Sex Transm Inf,
October 1, 2008;
84(Suppl_2):
ii4 - ii11.
[Abstract]
[Full Text]
[PDF]
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
S. D. Pinkerton, E. G. Benotsch, and J. Mikytuck
When Do Simpler Sexual Behavior Data Collection Techniques Suffice?: An Analysis of Consequent Uncertainty in HIV Acquisition Risk Estimates
Eval Rev,
August 1, 2007;
31(4):
401 - 412.
[Abstract]
[PDF]
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
S. D. Pinkerton, C. L. Galletly, and D. W. Seal
Model-Based Estimates of HIV Acquisition Due to Prison Rape.
The Prison Journal,
January 1, 2007;
87(3):
295 - 310.
[Abstract]
[PDF]
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
H. Amaro, A. C. Morrill, J. Dai, H. Cabral, and A. Raj
Heterosexual Behavioral Maintenance and Change Following HIV Counseling and Testing
J Health Psychol,
March 1, 2005;
10(2):
287 - 300.
[Abstract]
[PDF]
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
C. L. Galletly and S. D. Pinkerton
Toward Rational Criminal HIV Exposure Laws
J. Law Med. Ethics,
June 1, 2004;
32(2):
327 - 337.
[PDF]
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
D. R. Holtgrave
HIV Prevention, Cost-Utility Analysis, and Race/Ethnicity: Methodological Considerations and Recommendations
Med Decis Making,
March 1, 2004;
24(2):
181 - 191.
[Abstract]
[PDF]
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
S. D. Pinkerton
A Relative Risk-Based, Disease-Specific Definition of Sexual Abstinence Failure Rates
Health Educ Behav,
February 1, 2001;
28(1):
10 - 20.
[Abstract]
[PDF]
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
L. Y. Wang, M. Davis, L. Robin, J. Collins, K. Coyle, and E. Baumler
Economic Evaluation of Safer Choices: A School-Based Human Immunodeficiency Virus, Other Sexually Transmitted Diseases, and Pregnancy Prevention Program
Arch Pediatr Adolesc Med,
October 1, 2000;
154(10):
1017 - 1024.
[Abstract]
[Full Text]
[PDF]
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
S. L. Eyre, C. Auerswald, V. Hoffman, and S. G. Millstein
Fidelity Management: African-American Adolescents' Attempts to Control the Sexual Behavior of their Partners
J Health Psychol,
July 1, 1998;
3(3):
393 - 406.
[Abstract]
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
S. D. Pinkerton, D. R. Holtgrave, L. C. Leviton, D. A. Wagstaff, and P. R. Abramson
Model-Based Evaluation of Hiv Prevention Interventions
Eval Rev,
April 1, 1998;
22(2):
155 - 174.
[Abstract]
[PDF]
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
S. D. Pinkerton, D. R. Holtgrave, and H. J. Pinkerton
Cost-effectiveness of Chemoprophylaxis After Occupational Exposure to HIV
Arch Intern Med,
September 22, 1997;
157(17):
1972 - 1980.
[Abstract]
[PDF]
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
S. D. Pinkerton and P. R. Abramson
Implications of Increased Infectivity in Early-Stage HIV Infection: Application of a Bernoulli-Process Model of HIV Transmission
Eval Rev,
October 1, 1996;
20(5):
516 - 540.
[Abstract]
[PDF]
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
S. D. Pinkerton and P. R. Abramson
An Alternative Model of the Reproductive Rate of Hiv Infection: Formulation, Evaluation, and Implications for Risk Reduction Interventions
Eval Rev,
August 1, 1994;
18(4):
371 - 388.
[Abstract]
[PDF]
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
S. D. Pinkerton and P. R. Abramson
HIV Vaccines: A Magic Bullet in the Fight Against AIDS?
Eval Rev,
December 1, 1993;
17(6):
579 - 602.
[Abstract]
[PDF]
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
S. Pinkerton and P. Abramson
A magic bullet against AIDS?
Science,
October 8, 1993;
262(5131):
162 - 163.
[PDF]
|
|
|
|
|
